Lafayette 
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 94.2873
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
201 H Air Force ASUN ( 8- 7, 92.3) 11- 8
210 H Binghamton America East ( 5- 8, 91.2) 16- 9
218 A Drexel CAA ( 7- 7, 91.8) 10-12
222 N Le Moyne NEC ( 9- 5, 89.7) 15- 4
301 A Army Patriot (12- 2, 97.9) 5-15
308 H Colgate Patriot (10- 7, 96.5) 14-19
311 H NJIT America East ( 1-11, 86.5) 14- 4
315 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 4-11, 90.6) 13- 8
322 A Loyola Patriot ( 3-11, 93.3) 11-10
328 H Bucknell Patriot ( 5- 9, 92.4) 14- 5
404 A Navy Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.9) 8-14
412 H Boston Univ Patriot (11- 5, 95.4) 11- 9
419 A Virginia ACC ( 6- 8, 95.8) 8-13
425 A Lehigh Patriot ( 5-10, 94.1) 12- 7
429 H Navy Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.9) 9- 5
502 N Boston Univ Patriot (11- 5, 95.4) 10-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 H Air Force 11- 8 3 3 0.17
210 H Binghamton 16- 9 7 4 1.07
218 A Drexel 10-12 -2 2 - -3.65
222 N Le Moyne 15- 4 11 5 0.42
301 A Army 5-15 -10 -4 -0.51
308 H Colgate 14-19 -5 -1 - -3.64
311 H NJIT 14- 4 10 9 0.00
315 H Holy Cross 13- 8 5 5 0.41
322 A Loyola 11-10 1 0 0.86
328 H Bucknell 14- 5 9 3 + 2.28
404 A Navy 8-14 -6 0 -- -4.52
412 H Boston Univ 11- 9 2 0 + 2.24
419 A Virginia 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.66
425 A Lehigh 12- 7 5 -1 ++ 5.66
429 H Navy 9- 5 4 1 + 2.77
502 N Boston Univ 10-12 -2 -1 -0.90
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 A Navy 8-14 -6 0 -- -4.52
218 A Drexel 10-12 -2 2 - -3.65
308 H Colgate 14-19 -5 -1 - -3.64
419 A Virginia 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.66
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
425 A Lehigh 12- 7 5 -1 ++ 5.66
328 H Bucknell 14- 5 9 3 + 2.28
412 H Boston Univ 11- 9 2 0 + 2.24
429 H Navy 9- 5 4 1 + 2.77
|
Lafayette PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Air Force |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
 
| |
| Albany |
Albany |
|
Albany   3- 2 vs 2- 3 |
|
| Army |
Army |
Army |
 
| |
| Bellarmine |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Binghamton |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
 
| |
| Boston Univ |
Boston Univ |
|
Boston Univ   7- 1 vs 6- 3 |
|
| Brown |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 1 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Bryant |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
Lafayette |
| Bucknell |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
 
| |
| Canisius |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Cleveland St |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Colgate |
Colgate |
Colgate |
 
|
| Cornell |
Cornell |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Cornell |
| Dartmouth |
Dartmouth |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Dartmouth |
| Delaware |
Delaware |
|
Delaware   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Denver |
Denver |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Denver |
| Detroit |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Drexel |
Drexel |
Drexel |
 
| |
| Duke |
Duke |
|
Duke   3- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Fairfield |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Georgetown |
Georgetown |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Georgetown |
| Hampton |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Lafayette |
| Harvard |
Harvard |
|
Harvard   2- 1 vs 2- 2 |
|
| High Point |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 2 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Hobart |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Lafayette |
| Hofstra |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Lafayette |
| Holy Cross |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
 
| |
| Iona |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 1 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Jacksonville |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lafayette |
| JHU |
JHU |
|
JHU   3- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Le Moyne |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
 
| |
| Lehigh |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
 
|
| LIU |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lafayette |
| Loyola |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
 
| |
| Manhattan |
Lafayette |
|
 
| Lafayette |
| Marist |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Marquette |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lafayette |
| Maryland |
Maryland |
|
Maryland   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| UMass |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Lafayette |
| Mass-Lowell |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Mercer |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Mercyhurst |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Merrimack |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Michigan |
Michigan |
|
 
| Michigan |
| Monmouth |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   2- 2 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Mt St Marys |
Lafayette |
|
 
| Lafayette |
| Navy |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   6- 3 vs 4- 4 |
|
| NJIT |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
 
| |
| No Carolina |
No Carolina |
|
No Carolina   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
|
Notre Dame   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Ohio State |
Ohio State |
|
Ohio State   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Penn |
Lafayette |
|
 
| Lafayette |
| Penn State |
Penn State |
|
Penn State   2- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Princeton |
Princeton |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Princeton |
| Providence |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Lafayette |
| Queens |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Quinnipiac |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Richmond |
Richmond |
|
Richmond   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Rob Morris |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Rutgers |
Rutgers |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Rutgers |
| Sacred Heart |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lafayette |
| Siena |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   2- 1 vs 1- 1 |
|
| St B'venture |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| St Johns |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lafayette |
| St Josephs |
St Josephs |
|
St Josephs   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Stony Brook |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Syracuse |
Syracuse |
|
Syracuse   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Towson |
Towson |
|
Towson   2- 2 vs 2- 3 |
|
| UMBC |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  3- 1 |
Lafayette |
| Utah |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Vermont |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Villanova |
Lafayette |
|
tied -  1- 2 |
Lafayette |
| Virginia |
Virginia |
Virginia |
 
| |
| VMI |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Wagner |
Lafayette |
|
Lafayette   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Yale |
Yale |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Yale |
PairWisePlus = 48

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Air Force ( 8- 7, 92.3) 11- 8 -7.58 11.23 -0.86 0.90 9.29
0 H Binghamton ( 5- 8, 91.2) 16- 9 -8.69 10.12 -0.86 0.90 8.30
0 A Drexel ( 7- 7, 91.8) 10-12 -8.12 10.69 0.86 0.90 -6.51
0 N Le Moyne ( 9- 5, 89.7) 15- 4 -10.19 8.62 -0.00 0.90 7.73
0 A Army (12- 2, 97.9) 5-15 -1.98 16.84 0.86 0.90 -1.00
0 H Colgate (10- 7, 96.5) 14-19 -3.40 15.42 -0.86 0.90 -3.81
0 H NJIT ( 1-11, 86.5) 14- 4 -13.43 5.38 -0.86 0.90 4.06
0 H Holy Cross ( 4-11, 90.6) 13- 8 -9.34 9.47 -0.86 0.90 7.72
0 A Loyola ( 3-11, 93.3) 11-10 -6.61 12.20 0.86 0.90 11.70
0 H Bucknell ( 5- 9, 92.4) 14- 5 -7.47 11.34 -0.86 0.90 9.39
0 A Navy ( 8- 7, 93.9) 8-14 -5.99 12.83 0.86 0.90 -4.60
0 H Boston Univ (11- 5, 95.4) 11- 9 -4.51 14.30 -0.86 0.90 12.05
0 A Virginia ( 6- 8, 95.8) 8-13 -4.13 14.68 0.86 0.90 -2.93
0 A Lehigh ( 5-10, 94.1) 12- 7 -5.81 13.00 0.86 0.90 12.42
0 H Navy ( 8- 7, 93.9) 9- 5 -5.99 12.83 -0.86 0.90 10.73
0 N Boston Univ (11- 5, 95.4) 10-12 -4.51 14.30 -0.00 0.90 -4.04
------
70.48
|
winning pts = 93.3818 losing points = -22.8974
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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